Drake Maye + Jayden Daniels

Brent Schwartz’s 2024 NFL Mock Draft

We’re almost there. Two more weeks from today, this year’s top NFL Draft prospects will hear their names called in Detroit.

Each draft comes with its storylines and hype, but it’s not a stretch to say this is one of the four or five most exciting draft classes of the 21st century. (Unless that’s just the Patriots fandom in me talking?) Nevertheless, this draft is projected to go 1-2-3 with QBs, and possibly even 1-2-3-4 or four quarterbacks selected in the top five. Heck there’s even a shot we see six QBs selected in the top 13! This also feels like a historic class of wide receivers and offensive tackles. We could easily see nine offensive players selected with the first 10 picks, which is what I have below.

Well, let’s get started.

I’ll begin with deeper dives on the projected top QB placements, before using educated guesses and scheme knowledge/draft history to help project the entire first round of the draft and some fun Round 2 fits for teams.

Bears
              Caleb Williams             
 1. CALEB WILLIAMS
USC · QB
Williams enters the draft as arguably one of the four or five most touted quarterback draft prospects of the last 25-plus years. Since Peyton Manning, you could make the case that only Andrew Luck and Trevor Lawrence were more anticipated pro passers with a year-plus left in their collegiate careers.

Spare the off-the-field, debate-show semantics around Williams’ personality. Few prospects have ever been more tailored to their era than Williams entering the NFL now.

The 2022 Heisman winner has a rocket arm, a knack for playmaking  in and out of the pocket, and is superb in his off-platform throws and unique throwing angles. He’s Mahomes-ian in many ways — including his time spent under Kliff Kingsbury in college — and there’s possibly a dash of more on-the-move Aaron Rodgers ability to his game, as well.

Valid concerns include his hunting for big plays versus taking proper checkdown throws, as well as his projection from a college-style offense to a pro one. His 6-foot-1, 214-pound frame doesn’t bother me, as he has a stouter/muscular build that is halfway Jalen Hurts-ian (and maybe more Mahomes, again). He should be able to take the hits. Chicago fans should be excited for this new era.

 

Commanders
              Jayden Daniels             
 2. JAYDEN DANIELS
LSU · QB
Things immediately get a bit tricky/educated guess-y with pick No. 2. No know truly knows if Washington prefers Jayden Daniels or Drake Maye. I lean with the Commanders taking the LSU QB here.

No player skyrocketed up draft boards during the 2023 college football season quite like Daniels. His eye-popping numbers earned him a Heisman trophy in December, and now many are wondering how his game will translate to the pros.

His slender frame (6-4, 210 lbs) and Evel Knievel-ish running style are somewhat concerning, but Daniels’ straight-line speed, throwing mechanics and passing accuracy are a delightful combination.

Even if you take away his speed, he looks like a natural thrower in the pocket, especially throwing outside the numbers. He has a beautiful touch and lightning-quick release. His arm strength is adequate for the pro game, but his tuck-and-run ability seems too frequent and impatient for the NFL level. There’s not many throw-on-the-run reps on film. He either throws in-pocket or moves off his progression and runs. His college scramble rate on non-pressured dropbacks (9.4%) was higher than Justin Fields’ mark (8%) and much higher than Caleb Williams (3%). (h/t @fball_insights).

Ultimately, new Commanders offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is one of the more qualified teachers when it comes to ushering in a unique prospect like Daniels to the pros. Daniels should spend almost all of his time in shotgun in Washington. He’s not a dual threat QB who thrives on designed rushes. He doesn’t move laterally like Lamar Jackson, nor does he sport the Ravens QB’s quickness. Daniels also lacks the frame to pull off Cam Newton-esque ‘QB power’ concepts or Jalen Hurts-like zone-read reps. Daniels is more of a scrambler. He’ll need to adapt to NFL-level middle-of-the-field reads, but there’s great ability in him if activated. It’ll be fascinating to witness.

 

Patriots
              Drake Maye             
 3. DRAKE MAYE
UNC · QB
The Patriots will surely receive trade offers from teams like the Vikings and Giants for this pick, especially if Maye is available, but there’s no predicting the future when it comes to QB talent and draft positioning in 2025. Despite fielding a borderline expansion-level offensive roster pre-draft, the Jerod Mayo/Eliot Wolf-era truly begins with the selection of Drake Maye here.

Maye is your classic “built in a lab” QB prospect with ideal size (6-4, 223 lbs) and arm talent. He struggled some in his final college season at North Carolina, but his supporting cast wasn’t all that great.

Maye processes and lasers in NFL-level middle-of-the-field throws better than anyone in this class, and he has the athletic ability and playmaking traits to thrive off-script. However, he has an elongated throwing motion and tends to drift in the pocket, often throwing without his feet set. There’s some electric off-platform throws mixed in with some off-the-mark, inaccurate darts. There’s mechanical issues that will need some work, and he’ll need to develop more ball placement consistency.

OC Alex Van Pelt and former Giants head coach Ben McAdoo lead the new brass of Patriots quarterback development. Van Pelt puts a great deal of stock into footwork and mechanics when it come to passing.

Maye, along with Williams and Daniels, spent over 90 percent of his college snaps in shotgun, according to TruMedia, which isn’t a rarity for college ball. Maye has more work in pistol formations, where the QB turns his back to the defense on play-action throws. That’s a start, but the Patriots coaching staff will be tasked with teaching Maye how to thrive on under-center play-action concepts we can probably expect from a Van Pelt offense on early downs.

But the talent is obviously there. Maye leads all college quarterbacks since 2022 in two key PFF metrics: big-time throws (79) and passing grade (96.7).

If picks 2 and 3 do go this way, I think this: Washington is a much better scheme fit for Jayden Daniels than New England. And although Drake Maye could fit in any system (Shanahan-style, Josh McDaniels, Air Raid, etc.), he’s certainly the best fit for the Patriots, from New England’s perspective.

Unlike QB-needy teams who have a plan in motion and roster in place to compete (think: Minnesota), New England needs far more than a run-of-the-mill first-round QB prospect. They essentially need a quarterback “Messiah,” and after Williams, Maye best fits that mold. New England should be happy to take the Tar Heel here.

 

Cardinals
              Marvin Harrison Jr.             
 4. MARVIN HARRISON JR.
Ohio St · WR
This should be an easy selection for Cardinals GM Monti Ossenfort.

Son of Peyton Manning’s favorite target, Marvin’s skillset transcend that of just a Hall-of-Fame wide receiver’s kid. He’s lauded as one of the best receiver prospects of all-time. In terms of pre-draft hype, he seems firmly in the Larry Fitzgerald-Calvin Johnson-Ja’Marr Chase pantheon.

The 6-foot-3, 209-pound Harrison is a route-runners delight, drawing warranted comparisons to Davante Adams as a taller receiver with incredible smoothness and polish as a quick-footed separator. Because of that, he can move around the formation as both a perimeter and slot option, despite playing 84% of his Ohio State snaps on the boundary.

Harrison gives Kyler Murray a top-flight receiving option, and helps establish a pass-catching pecking order that continues with promising tight end Trey McBride and sure-handed possession receiver Michael Wilson.

 

Vikings
              J.J. McCarthy             
 5. J.J. MCCARTHY
Michigan · QB
TRADE! Minnesota unloads picks No. 11 and No. 23 and a few mid-round selections to move up to No. 5 for the Michigan QB.

Many will point to McCarthy’s not-asked-to-do-much resume at Michigan, but I’d argue his throw-on-the-run and crunch-time reps are pretty impressive on tape.

The National Championship-winning QB is a bit of a projection, but to me, he’s certainly worthy a first-round selection if you’re running a more-established Shanahan/McVay-style offense.

Minnesota already has the weapons (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson) and bridge QB (Sam Darnold) to help ease McCarthy into the league.

With time, he could turn into a menace on under-center, play-action bootleg reps. This could be an odd comp if you can’t see it, but to me he’s a college basketball-esque, senior point guard distributor. He’s a great athlete with ample size (6-2, 219 lbs). His potential is that of a new-age version of a classic/vintage west-coast passer with middle-of-field accuracy and intangibles that eventually could help the Vikings get back to winning close games (11-0 in one-score games in 2022).

 

Giants
              Malik Nabers             
 6. MALIK NABERS
LSU · WR
With quarterbacks flying off the board, the Giants go with the explosive, jet pack-charged Nabers here to elevate a depleted receiving core.

Nine out of 10 drafts, Nabers would be a surefire WR1. Nabers has absurd speed and YAC ability for his size (6-0, 200lbs). PFF graded him first among his draft class peers in just about every WR metric — grades on receiving, vs. man coverage, vs. zone coverage, in the slot.

He can line up anywhere (54% of college snaps in slot, 46% on outside). He’s drawn comps to former LSU star Odell Beckham Jr. That fits the bill to me, but he has more quick-slant-to-the-house potential and less catch-point ability.

Nabers would help set the target order for QB Daniel Jones, who has Darius Slayton, vertical threat (only) Jalin Hyatt, gadgety Wan’Dale Robinson and tight end Darren Waller at the top of the pass-catching totem pole right now.

 

Titans
              Joe Alt             
 7. JOE ALT
Notre Dame · OT
Pretty easy selection here I think if Tennessee stays put. The QB/WR superstars at the top of the draft have overshadowed what many believe is a future All-Pro left tackle in Joe Alt.

Alt is a massive presence (6-9, 321 lbs) with combine metrics worthy of one of the best draft prospects at his position, ever. Coming over from San Francisco, Titans GM Ran Carthon gets his Trent Williams here to help usher in the Will Levis-era, even if Williams and Alt are different prospects. New Tennessee head coach Brian Callahan and father Bill (OL coach; former Raiders head coach) will be happy with this.

 

Jets
              Rome Odunze             
 8. ROME ODUNZE
UW · WR
TRADE! With the Bears in play for Odunze and the possibility of the Bills making a Julio Jones trade-equivalent move up here, the Jets jump up two spots to ensure they snag an alpha-male WR prospect.

Similar to what I wrote in the Nabers selection, Odunze would probably be a WR1 in most drafts.

He’s more polished than Malik Nabers, with similar ball skills and catch-point ability as DeAndre Hopkins, but with better size (6-3, 212 lbs), speed, strentgth/physicality and yards-after-catch/contact potential.

The Jets patched up the offensive line in free agency and now can pair Odunze with Garrett Wilson, giving Aaron Rodgers one of the nastier X-Z receiver combos in pro football.

 

Bears
              Brock Bowers             
 9. BROCK BOWERS
Georgia · TE
Between Rome Odunze and Brock Bowers, the Bears and Jets will probably be in play for both prospects around this area of draft night.

New Bears OC Shane Waldron was a 12 personnel-heavy play-caller in Seattle before the Seahawks drafted slot receiver Jaxon Smith-Ngiba last spring. With D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen in the fold for Caleb Williams, the Bears blur the line between 11 and 12 personnel looks by complimenting traditional ‘Y’ tight end Cole Kmet with Bowers.

The Georgia product is one of the top five non-QB prospects in this draft in my opinion. Chicago can move the 6-3, 243-pound playmaker around the formation, but I see him best used as a slot playmaker who maybe lines up in Dalton Kincaid-ish spots, but has George Kittle-like ability.

 

Falcons
              Dallas Turner             
 10. DALLAS TURNER
Alabama · EDGE
Atlanta moves back two spots and still gets Dallas Turner to help optimize a pass rush that struggled last season.

New Falcons defensive coordinator Jimmy Lake plans to run a base 3-4 defense, where Turner will slot in at either stand-up EDGE spot. The 6-3, 247-pound Alabama product has deviant bend in his pass-rush moves, and coming from a Nick Saban defense, you know he can set the edge in the run game. Atlanta needs this level of athleticism and physicality on the edge. They get it here.

 

Chargers
              Taliese Fuaga             
 11. TALIESE FUAGA
Oregon St · OT
The Chargers swap places with the Broncos and land a made-for-Jim Harbaugh mauler at right tackle to compliment Rashawn Slater on the left side, and to help begin the franchise’s transformation into a tough-in-the-trenches squad.

Some project Fuaga better as a guard, but he has the size (6-6, 324 lbs) and potential as a pass blocker and should adjust to pro edge rushers over time. As a run blocker, he should enter the league as a powerful force from Day 1. Operation “keep Justin Herbert upright and make his life easier with a running game” begins now.

 

Broncos
              Laiatu Latu             
 12. LAIATU LATU
UCLA · EDGE
Many have Bo Nix and/or Michael Penix Jr. going at picks 12 and 13 to Denver and Las Vegas, but I think they each get their name called later.

As a pure pass rusher, I like Latu more than I do the more-complete Dallas Turner. He’s extremely skilled and polished working his way to the QB.

Denver defensive coordinator Vance Joseph needs a winner on the edge for his 3-4 scheme, and Latu provides that.

 

Raiders
              JC Latham             
 13. J.C. LATHAM
Alabama · OT
Vegas lands a massive right tackle here in Latham (6-6, 342 lbs) to pair with Kolton Miller on the left side.

The Raiders need some work on the right side of their offensive line, so this helps set a foundation for them in the trenches.

The ‘Bama product offers potentially-dominant ability in the run game as a “throw ’em out the club” people mover, and he has the quickness and foot work to pick things up quickly in pass protection.

 

Saints
              Olumuyiwa Fashanu             
 14. OLU FASHANU
Penn State · OT
This seems like a steal for the Saints if Fashanu falls this far. The Penn State left tackle was seen as a top-five player in this class by some earlier in the scouting process.

Labeling him “raw” is doing a disservice to the skills he’s already shown on film, but there will be a learning curve.

2022 first-round pick Trevor Penning has struggled at left tackle and right tackle Ryan Ramczyk may not play again. Fashanu would slot in at either spot.

Colts
              Quinyon Mitchell             
 15. QUINYON MITCHELL
Toledo · CB
Mitchell backs up an impressive Senior Bowl and combine showing by being the first cornerback off the board.

He has exceptional athleticism, explosiveness and ball skills. The Colts played more Cover-3 than any other team last season under defensive coordinator Gus Bradley. Mitchell should fit in well on the outside, with the ability to play man coverage on third down.

 

Seahawks
              Troy Fautanu             
 16. TROY FAUTANU
UW · OL
This is probably one of the more common player-team predictions in mock drafts. I like the idea of Laiatu Latu playing stand-up EDGE in Mike Macdonald’s defensive scheme, but with the UCLA product off the board earlier, new Seahawks OC Ryan Grubb gets one of his Washington guys.

Despite lacking the preferred length for a NFL tackle, Fautanu could probably get away with it due to his talent and skillset. But first, he slots in to one of the Seahawks’ guard spots to help improve the offensive line.

 

Jaguars
              Terrion Arnold             
 17. TERRION ARNOLD
Alabama · CB
A top-tier cornerback prospect falls to No. 17 for the second consecutive draft (Christian Gonzalez to Patriots in ’23).

Wide receiver is certainly a need with Calvin Ridley now in Tennessee, but the Jaguars get one of this draft’s top defensive players here.

Whether a zone-heavy or man-based coverage scheme, Arnold slots just about anywhere as a boundary or slot option. He’s feisty when attacking the ball, and should help a Jacksonville defense that struggled down the stretch in 2023.

 

Bengals
              Brian Thomas Jr.             
 18. BRIAN THOMAS JR.
LSU · WR
My hunch is the Bengals work out a trade for Tee Higgins (second-round pick and change?) during the draft, which allows them to go with an uber-talented vertical receiving threat on the perimeter here.

Thomas (6-3, 209 lbs) has a similar frame as Higgins (6-4, 219 lbs). He’s less of a jump-ball winner as the receiver he’ll replace, but Thomas is a more explosive threat (4.34 speed) with better route-running fluidity.

With Trent Brown in the fold to handle right tackle duties, Cincinnati can pass on an offensive tackle here and reach for rookie-contract upside in the receiving core with Higgins and Tyler Boyd out the door.

 

Rams
              Byron Murphy II             
 19. BYRON MURPHY II
Texas · DL
This not strictly a draft-for-need choice for the Aaron Donald-less Rams. Murphy is a quick, explosive interior disruptor with some of the same pre-draft size concerns (6-0, 297 lbs) as Donald.

The Rams began shifting away from 3-4 looks to more four-down fronts in 2023. But Murphy has some good 5-tech rep on film from Texas, if he is to fill in there in Raheem Morris’ 3-3-5 fronts.

 

Steelers
              Amarius Mims             
 20. AMARIUS MIMS
Georgia · OT
Mims has only eight collegiate starts at tackle. But even with the small amount of reps on film, his dominance shows out.

Let’s cut to the chase — he is GARGANTUAN. Standing at 6-foot-8 and weighing 340 pounds, he packs obvious power and surprising nimbleness. He doesn’t appear raw when looking at this Georgia tape.

I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes off the board in the early teens (Vegas?), but here the Steelers are able to move Mims’ former Bulldog teammate, Broderick Jones, to left tackle. Mims slots in nicely on the right side, and between the tackle duo, and former Georgia tight end Darnell Washington, good luck trying to play run defense versus that downhill stampede.

 

Dolphins
              Graham Barton             
 21. GRAHAM BARTON
Duke · OL
Barton played the majority of his time at left tackle at Duke, but he began his college career as a center.

Barton has the versatility to slot in at center or either guard spot with Miami barren at the position after losing Robert Hunt in free agency.

The Duke product is very quick for his size (6-5, 315 lbs) and should fit in nicely moving in space in Miami’s outside-zone heavy rushing scheme.

 

Eagles
              Cooper DeJean             
 22. COOPER DEJEAN
Iowa · DB
The Eagles’ Achilles heel on defense last season was the subpar play and deterioration of the linebacking core and secondary. With Vic Fangio in town as defensive coordinator, Philly selects one of the draft’s most versatile athletes.

DeJean is a ball skills aficionado with both basketball-level athleticism and the toughness to tackle in the run game.

With C.J. Gardner-Johnson back in town to handle nickel duties, Philly can opt to use DeJean at boundary cornerback, or move him around to emphasize his ability to play safety and in the slot.

 

Chargers
              Adonai Mitchell             
 23. ADONAI MITCHELL
Texas · WR
Harbaugh and Chargers GM Joe Hortiz almost begrudgingly take a talented receiver here before the second run begins.

I think even they know that they just can’t operate by leaving the receiving core as barren as is. After landing an offensive tackle, they dip into the well for a X-receiver with size (6-2, 205 lbs), speed (4.34), and superb body control. He’s a nuanced and polished route-runner who comes in ready to be Justin Herbert’s top target. Harbaugh can put his A.J. Jenkins-PTSD behind him here to give Herbert some help.

 

Cowboys
              Tyler Guyton             
 24. TYLER GUYTON
Oklahoma · OT
Dallas lost long-time bookend left tackle Tyron Smith and center Tyler Biadasz this offseason. Oregon center Jackson-Powers Johnson could be the selection, but I have Dallas going with more potential upside here by selecting Guyton to play left tackle, allowing them to keep All-Pro Tyler Smith at left guard.

Guyton is a raw prospect, but he’s shown the ability to play well in space in zone-rushing schemes, while also packing enough power to block defenders in gap-style runs like counter.

 

Packers
              Nate Wiggins             
 25. NATE WIGGINS
Clemson · CB
The Packers go back to the first-round cornerback well here considering their lukewarm return on Eric Stokes and odd behavior from Jaire Alexander.

Wiggins size is a bit of an issue (6-1, 173 lbs) but he uses his length to operate pretty well in press coverage. He also ran a 4.28 40 at the combine. The Packers take a chance on his athleticism, height and coverage smoothness here.

Buccaneers
              Jared Verse             
 26. JARED VERSE
FSU · EDGE
This could be a bit low for Verse, who projects better as a hand-in-the-dirt, athletic 4-3 defensive end who I initially liked for the Texans before their swap with the Vikings.

Here, Tampa makes it work with Verse at their 3-4 outside linebacker spot with Shaquil Barrett out the door. The Florida State product has the size (6-4, 254 lbs), burst and power to provide pass rush juice for a Bucs team that needs more from that spot despite investing a first-rounder in Joe Tryon-Shoyinka a few years back.

 

Chiefs
              Jordan Morgan             
 27. JORDAN MORGAN
Arizona · OT
TRADE! Even before the Rashee Rice situation, the Hollywood Brown addition was probably not enough to help improve Kansas City’s pass-catching core, but they also currently sit without a left tackle with Donovan Smith unsigned.

Morgan lacks the typical size of a NFL left tackle, and he’s better suited for an outside-zone rushing team like Miami than a inside, gap scheme Kansas City has gravitated to, but I’m betting Morgan’s quickness in pass protection to battle speed rushers catches Kansas City’s eye here.

 

Bills
              Xavier Worthy             
 28. XAVIER WORTHY
Texas · WR
With Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis gone, Buffalo taps the new 40-yard dash combine record holder (4.21) as a Tyreek Hill emulator or ‘lite’ version.

Worthy is more than just a burner, and he has inside-outside versatility, but he’s nowhere near a Hill-level talent at the catch point.

Ladd McConkey was considered here as a less boom-or-bust, more polished route runner, but Buffalo can take a chance on a big play threat here with Allen’s gunslinger mentality and arm strength.

 

Lions
              Ennis Rakestraw Jr.             
 29. ENNIS RAKESTRAW  
Mizzou · CB
Even after adding Carlton Davis in free agency, the Lions add a boundary cornerback to a roster that doesn’t seem to have a glaring need.

Rakestraw has an auroa of energy and toughness and plays aggressively. He also takes on blockers while defending the run. He’s superb there. He’ll fit in perfectly with Dan Campbell’s Lions as a potential season-long growth project who could come up huge in January.

 

Ravens
              Darius Robinson             
 30. DARIUS ROBINSON
Mizzou · DL
This is a classic Ravens/Steelers/Belichick-era Patriots pick.

Robinson is a unique athlete in his positional versatility and size (6-5, 285 lbs). He reminds me somewhat of Keion White, New England’s second-round choice from last year,  in that he is sort of a “tweener” who can play all along the line.

He probably won’t spend too much time as a stand-up edge defender in Baltimore’s scheme, but he certainly can help fill the void left by Jadeveon Clowney as a strong-side edge setter in the run game. He played a ton of 5-tech snaps at Missouri, so I could see him playing a bit there, then kicking further inside on passing downs to rush the passer next to Justin Madubuike.

 

49ers
              Ladd McConkey             
 31. LADD MCCONKEY
Georgia · WR
I’m more confident in a Tee Higgins trade than I am San Francisco dealing Brandon Aiyuk or Deebo Samuel anytime soon. If the 49ers can swing a Deebo trade without too much dead cap left behind, South Carolina WR Xavier Legette makes some sense to replace Deebo’s YAC ability.

But here, the 49ers get one of the best route-runners in the class to either accentuate or eventually replace Aiyuk.

McConkey makes defenders look silly in man coverage, and he’s a borderline Tier 1-operator when it comes to the top of the route. He excels there at a level only Marvin Harrison Jr., Rome Odunze and A.D. Mitchell reside when it comes to this class.  I see McConkey thriving with Aiyuk’s in-breaker-heavy route tree, and he even works well as an at-the-snap motion piece here.

I’m sure San Francisco would love a replacement for Colton McKivitz at right tackle, but with their options limited at this stage of Day 1, they boost their league-best offense with one of my favorite prospects.

 

Cardinals
              Chop Robinson             
 32. CHOP ROBINSON
Penn St · EDGE
After moving back five spots in a trade with Kansas City, Arizona gets a twitchy edge rusher who could thrive in Jonathan Gannon’s defense with some development.

Robinson had a lot of hand-in-the-dirt pass-rushing snaps at Penn State, but he projects as more of a stand-up rusher in the pros. That bodes well in Arizona’s 3-4 defense. There’s a lot of boom-or-bust with this pick, but drafting talented development projects (he ran a 4.48 at 254 lbs) are sometimes what late-Round 1, early-Round 2 picks are for.

Round 2

Here are 15 fun Round 2 fits. I factored in team scheme into my projections.

Panthers
              Xavier Legette             
 33. XAVIER LEGETTE
SC · WR
Like the Patriots, the Panthers probably won’t fully solve their receiving core dilemma in this draft, but they can do their best to stock up on talent in a rich class at the position.

The South Carolina native and university grad stays close to home here with a team that reportedly wants him in the building.

Legette is one of favorite players in this entire draft. Whether it is his playing style or accent, he rocks as a prospect.

Only a few receivers in history have 4.3 speed weighing over 220 pounds. Legette is both A.J. Brown and DK Metcalf-ish with his size, speed and explosion. His RAS score is off the charts. But Legette projects as less of a pure X-receiver like Metcalf and more of a X/Z combo, or move piece who can thrive on crossers and with his YAC ability from condensed formations or different spots.

He can be a ball winner on fades and flies, but sticking him with a robust route tree right off the bat would likely be misusing his ability. If schemed right, he could be a difference maker right away for Carolina, a nice compliment to newcomer Diontae Johnson, who should handle the more diverse route tree.

 

Patriots
              Kingsley Suamataia             
 34. KINGSLEY SUAMATAIA
BYU · OT
I’d love a receiver here for the Patriots (they can also figure out a trade for Tee Higgins), but it feels like they may prefer tackle considering the drop-off soon after. There could be a heavier late-Day 1 run on tackles than even I envision here, which would force them to pivot to pass-catcher, but if Suamataia is available, I think New England jumps at the chance for a skillful prospect with size, nastiness and movement ability for their projected zone-rushing scheme.

 

Cardinals
              Jer'Zhan Newton             
 35. JER’ZHAN NEWTON
Illinois · DL
The Cardinals added Bilal Nichols, Justin Jones and the bulky Khyiris Tonga to their defensive line in free agency, but they could use a high-upside rookie here to further revamp in their makeover.

Newton is an undersized, but high-motor interior havoc-wrecker who would compliment some of the bigger bodies Arizona added in March.

 

Broncos
              Michael Penix Jr.             
 36. MICHAEL PENIX JR. 
UW · QB
TRADE! The Commanders have a wealth of premium picks, so selection No. 36 or 40 could be for sale for the right future assets. After failing to trade up for a Will Levis-esque trade with clubs at the very top of Round 2 who want to stick (Carolina, New England), Denver finally finds a suitor to jump Las Vegas (and perhaps Seattle?) here. Despite the Bo Nix-to-Denver projections, Penix become Sean Payton’s guy.

I like Penix’s culture fit with the Raiders as a tough/physical, comeback-from-injury story for Antonio Pierce’s rough-and-rowdy bunch, but Denver and New England are the most QB-needy teams in the draft, and Denver makes it known that Penix’s pocket presence, toughness and deep ball accuracy are something they covet.

The Washington QB has an odd arm delivery and will need to target the middle of the field more than he did in college, but his intangibles and mental toughness are something sorely needed in Denver’s rebuild, even if he doesn’t become the long-term solution. Penix also surprised many at his Pro Day with a reported 40-yard dash time of 4.51. That bodes well for any concerns regarding his knees.

 

Chargers
              Roman Wilson             
 37. ROMAN WILSON
Michigan · WR
Two receivers for the Chargers in the Top 40 seems unfathomable considering Jim Harbaugh’s positional importance guidelines but this move makes a ton of sense. He gets “his guy” at the high-volume Z/slot role after nabbing Mitchell for his X spot in Round 1. The Chargers’ receiving core is decimated pre-draft, but here they replenish the targets left behind by Mike Williams and Keenan Allen.

 

Eagles
              Jackson Powers-Johnson             
 38. JACKSON POWERS-JOHNSON
Oregon · OL
TRADE! The Eagles have picks No. 50 and 53, along with four selections in Rounds 4 and 5, so they can figure out a package here to move up 12 spots for Powers-Johnson.

The Oregon center has great size (6-3, 328 lbs) for an interior blocker, and his hand work and ability to climb to the second level and move in space are excellent. He would flourish in the Eagles’ zone-read and inside zone looks.

Cam Jurgens started at right guard last year for Philly, and there’s the potential he was being groomed to take over for Jason Kelce at center. With Kelce’s retirement, the Eagles can go one of two ways with this selection by either putting Powers-Johnson at guard, or keeping Jurgens in place and putting the rookie at snapper.

 

Panthers
              Ja'Tavion Sanders             
 39. JA’TAVION SANDERS
Texas · TE
The Panthers keep adding to their pass-catching core with an immediate starting option at tight end in Sanders, even if the Texas product is more of a ‘F’ or ‘flex’ option at the position.

Sanders has terrific ball skills and YAC ability and his tape shows better speed than his combine 40 (4.69) suggests. Like Legette, he’d be another plug-and-play playmaker for Carolina as they do their best to infuse some explosiveness and talent in to the offense.

 

Falcons
              Ricky Pearsall             
 43. RICKY PEARSALL
Florida · WR
With Zac Robinson taking over OC duties for the Falcons, you can expect a McVay, 11 personnel-heavy offense in Atlanta.

Drake London is there as an ‘X’ and Darnell Mooney should also project to start in 3-WR sets, but I think Atlanta is still looking to add competition for its WR3 duties.

There’s a chance they utilize Kyle Pitts in a unique way, but as of now, newcomers Ray-Ray McCloud and Rondale Moore feel like depth and gadget options more than a WR3.

Pearsall played most of his time in the slot at Florida (80% of snaps), but he has top-of-the-line quickness, great route-running, elusive YAC ability, and is fantastic at the catch point. He can thrive on both option routes and vertical concepts, and he’s also a willing blocker.

He seems like a perfect fit in a Shanahan/McVay style offense, where he’ll run option routes in spread looks and showcase his craftiness in condensed formation concepts.

 

Raiders
              Kool-Aid McKinstry             
 44. KOOL-AID MCKINSTRY
Alabama · CB
Back-to-back Alabama selections to kick of the draft here for the Raiders, whose best cornerback on the roster right now is Patriots castoff Jack Jones.

McKinstry is a scheme-agnostic cornerback in terms of his fit. His high-IQ and dependable ability make him an immediate candidate to start on the outside.

He’d be a nice fit opposite Jack Jones, who is an uber-aggressive ball hawk.

 

Saints
              Bo Nix             
 45. BO NIX 
Oregon · QB
With ample talk of a Bo Nix-Sean Payton combination kicking off the Denver rebuild, Nix ends up with Payton’s old team here as the Saints take a shot at a post-Derek Carr option for whenever they can maneuver their way around the cap in 2025 to get him off the books.

Nix is a better athlete than given credit for, and he has ample arm strength and pretty good accuracy to be a distributor in an up-tempo, quick passing game.

 

Steelers
              Jermaine Burton             
 51. JERMAINE BURTON
Alabama · WR
The Steelers traded Dionte Johnson but added Van Jefferson and Quez Watkins this offseason. Pittsburgh is known for astutely drafting wide receivers, so they should absolutely reach into this class to upgrade their suddenly barren pass-catching group.

Burton is an underrated prospect because of the influx of WR talent. He’s a vertical threat/downfield ball winner in a different way than George Pickens, so he should compliment his former Georgia teammate (before Burton left for Alabama) here well.

In this scenario, Pickens would be the boundary-X, Jefferson would work inside as a route-running afficiando, and Burton would have the chance to become WR2 as an outside/vertical slot presence (he played 80% of snaps on perimeter in college).

 

Cowboys
              Payton Wilson             
 56. PAYTON WILSON
N.C. State · LB
The Cowboys released Leighton Vander Esch and signed DC Mike Zimmer’s old pal Eric Kendricks this offseason.

Kendricks used to be the best pass coverage LB in the NFL during Zimmer’s days as Minnesota’s head coach but those days are long gone. Dallas could use someone like Wilson here in the front seven.

The NC State product is an incredible athlete and instinctive playmaker who reminds many of Luke Keuchly. He has range and length (6-4) and ran a 4.43 40 at the combine. But the develuation of linebackers, Wilson’s injury history and age (24) likely make him a Day 2 pick. 

Wilson won the Butkus award for best linebacker in college football and also nabbed the Chuck Bednarik Award given to the nation’s best defensive player overall. Dallas should be ecstatic with the ACC Defensive Player of the Year and All-American here.

 

Ravens
              Christian Haynes             
 62. CHRISTIAN HAYNES
UConn · OG
The Ravens lost both guards this offseason. They may need to move up for Haynes, but either way I like the fit here. Baltimore gets a fiesty, quick-moving guard who has been comped to former-Patriot, current-Texan Shaq Mason.

He’s an excellent run blocker and finisher at the tail-end of plays. He’ll fit right in at Baltimore as a potential Day 1 starter.

 

49ers
              Roger Rosengarten             
 63. ROGER ROSENGARTEN
UW · OT
The 49ers give competition to right tackle Colton McKivitz here with Rosengarten, who was coached by former 49er/Bronco Ed McCaffrey (Christian McCaffrey’s dad) in high school, and blocked in mostly a zone-based scheme while at Washington.

He may not start right away, but he has the potential to be an upgrade at right tackle.

 

Chiefs
              Malachi Corley             
 64. MALACHI CORLEY
WKU · WR
If Rashee Rice is unavailable this season, the Chiefs are essentially left with soon-to-be-35-year-old Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown and gadget options Mecole Hardmon and Skyy Moore as Patrick Mahomes’ top pass catchers.

Post-Tyreek Hill, Kansas City became a more YAC-oriented underneath throwing offense. What better option here than “The YAC King” to help potentially replace Rice’s snaps?

Rice filled a role first filled by JuJu Smith-Schuster as a tough/dependable option on sit routes, drags and crossers. Corley’s average depth of target in 2023 (6.1, according to PFF) and yards-after-catch (2,068 over past three seasons; most in FBS) numbers paint a picture of how he operates as a 5-foot-11, 215-pound bulldozer to defensive backs.

There’s some concern over his ability to run a more diverse route tree. Failure to do so would mean a risk of overlap with Hardmon’s skillset, but I think Corley has the chops to become a unique horizontal threat with attitude in this Chiefs offense.

49ers select Trey Lance

NFL Monday Morning Madness: Lance, Jones are perfect fits for 49ers, Patriots

For weeks in the lead-up to this past weekend’s NFL Draft, the much-discussed topic was the 49ers’ quarterback preference for their No. 3 pick, which they recently traded for.

As the opening night of the draft finally came, other headlines took shape (Aaron Rodgers wants out of Green Bay? The return of Tim Tebow?!).

But as the Draft finally began, everything else sank into the background, as over 12.5 million viewers (second-most, ever) tuned into the NFL’s annual spring spectacle, internally creating hopes and dreams based off their favorite team’s first-round selections.

Some stand-out notes on the draft:

— For just the second time in NFL history, five quarterbacks were taken in the draft’s top 15 picks (1999 was the other year).

— This draft also set a record when the first seven picks off the board were offensive players.

There are many takeaways from this draft, but we begin with what I think is the best situation of any of the first-round rookie quarterback destinations…

*******

Trey Lance enters the best situation of any rookie QB. No one likes a brag about, but I’m excited to see Trey Lance land with the 49ers because I thought he was the best choice for San Francisco at pick No. 3, which is why I predicted it in my mock draft

The North Dakota State quarterback is young, raw and inexperienced, but he has the potential to be far better in the Shanahan scheme than Justin Fields or Mac Jones if he reaches that potential.

Lance does have some accuracy issues, but he’s accurate enough. He’s also athletic with a big arm and has experience leading a run-centric offense with a fullback and tight ends, with a heavy number of under-center snaps (important for a Shanahan offense) and a healthy amount of shotgun ones. Lance is also a great match for the John Elway/Jake Plummer-esque play-action and bootleg passing concepts in this offense, and can even perform designed runs like QB Power. He’s an incredibly unique talent. 

Former NFL scout Matt Manocherian also debunked some uneducated theories on Lance’s style of play in his podcast on Friday:

“This isn’t an off-schedule type quarterback,” said Manocherian.

“He very much played on schedule and within the frame of the offense, in what he was asked to do at North Dakota State. Just because you’re un-athletic, doesn’t mean you’re running outside the scheme all the time. And I think that’s the key there. It’s not that Shanahan doesn’t want a quarterback that can run. It’s that he wants a quarterback that is going to fit into the framework of his scheme.”

Some even viewed Lance as the smartest QB in the draft, stating that what North Dakota State asked Lance to do, in terms of pre-snap, was more of a responsibility than any of the other four top rookie quarterbacks had while running their college offense. Some evaluators called him a “savant,” meaning he’s just as much of an intelligent quarterback and football player as he is a burgeoning athletic marvel at the game’s most important position. 

Now, Lance will get to learn Kyle Shanahan’s system while Jimmy Garoppolo leads a Super Bowl-ready roster in 2021. It’s the perfect fit. 

 

The Patriots select Mac Jones as QB of the future, and continues to build bully-ball team revolving around running game, defense.  Most of the media (including me) had settled on the Patriots trading up for Justin Fields before selecting Mac Jones, but by letting the Bears jump them to select Fields, it seemed as if the Patriots were set on Jones over Fields all along. Former Belichick confidant Michael Lombardi (whose son, Mick, is New England’s WR coach), was pretty adamant that New England didn’t want Fields. We should have listened, but the potential pairing of Belichick with a young and athletic, new-age QB quarterback was an intriguing thought. Heck, that’s what I mocked, and wanted.

But instead, New England waited at No. 15 and let the Alabama pocket passer come to them. 

“Mac fits the style of offense that Bill [Belichick] has typically played for the past 20 years with Tom [Brady],” ESPN‘s Louis Riddick said. 

“It’s the kind of quarterback that Josh McDaniels is used to coaching from a physical skills perspective. It’s going to work perfectly for them.”

The knocks on Jones in the pre-draft process has been his lack of mobility/athleticism, adequate (at best) arm strength, and his unfair collegiate advantage of playing with Alabama and their seemingly endless supply of NFL first-round talent. 

But Jones’ strengths (football intelligence, pocket presence, accuracy, quick release, leadership) seem to place him as a perfect fit for just about any NFL offense, with New England a better fit than others. 

Jones was mostly a distributing point-guard out of the shotgun last season, often throwing vertically and mastering the RPO concept, so that’s a bit of a different offense from the under-center, two-tight end scheme that we’ll probably see New England run this season, but Jones should be able to adapt to any scheme, and his traits fit the type of offense that the Patriots ran under Tom Brady in the dynasty’s early years (2001 to 2006), and again in 2018 and 2019. 

 “Whenever Mac Jones is ready, he’s going to be able to operate the full facilities of the Patriots offense, which Cam Newton was never able to do last year, I don’t care what was around him,” said Boston Sports Journal‘s Greg Bedard via his podcast.

“Mac Jones is probably the most advanced college quarterback in terms of pre-snap, checks, reads, all the mental stuff that goes on at the line of scrimmage. I have not seen or heard of a quarterback as advanced as Mac Jones in terms of what is level of experience is.”

Jones will likely sit behind Cam Newton to begin this season, though. 

No matter who starts at quarterback for the Patriots will be leading a smash-mouth, bully-ball football team that has loaded up on the offensive line and tight end positions, as well as in the front seven on defense.

New England’s picks from Round 2 to 4 (Alabama DT Christian Barmore, EDGE Ronnie Perkins, RB Rhamondre Stevenson) seem to fit a certain style of football the Patriots are looking to get back to. 

Belichick had to give up two fourth-round picks to move up for Barmore, who was the only interior defensive lineman with a first-round grade on most draft boards. 

Perkins was a classic “best player available” pick, and Stevenson will fill the “thumper” running back role last occupied by LeGarrette Blount in 2016. 

Whoever wins the starting quarterback job for the Patriots in camp will be leading a tough, hungry football team that has been created by Belichick’s aggressive offseason and vision.

 

Justin Fields will need to embrace the “savior” role as the Bears’ QB. Fields is a fascinating prospect. Standing as a 6-foot-3, 230-pound, 4.4-speed guy, he also has a rocket arm and pin-point accuracy. 

It wouldn’t even be fair to call the Bears a quarterback purgatory because their main problem is developing/finding quarterbacks to begin with. 

But even if their trade-up to No. 11 (giving up a future first-round pick in the process) was partially an act fo desperation for GM Ryan Pace and head coach Matt Nagy, I still think it was the right move, as Fields possess all the necessary skills to elevate the Bears’ offense, as long as the offense is schemed to his traits. 

“Theoretically, that’s the same offense [in Chicago] as Andy Reid runs,” said Greg Cosell via the Ross Tucker Podcast. 

“It’s the same playbook. We saw how well-defined that offense has worked for Patrick Mahomes. And Justin Fields is a high-level traits quarterback. So if you can really define the reads, the throws, through the use of personnel, formation, route concepts, based on your understanding of anticipating coverages, then I think it’s a really good spot for Justin Fields…To me, I think you should line the kid up on Day 1 and let him play.” 

The issue in Chicago is the Bears lack of offensive weapons. They have an OK tight end group, but their top two wide receivers are Allen Robinson (who is reluctantly on the franchise tag) and Darnell Mooney. Not a disaster by any means, because Robinson is a solid X-receiver who is deserving of a big contract, but the Bears should look to improve their pass-catching core while building around the young Fields. Adding Marquise Goodwin recently was a good start, but they need more. 

Fields will have heavy pressure to succeed right away from Nagy and Pace, considering their job status, and possibly the fan base, too.

He should start over Andy Dalton right off the bat, but Chicago should also be careful with his progression as a NFL QB. 

Regardless of what they do, Fields possesses a ton of mental and physical toughness, and should be up for the challenge. 

To me, the Bears made the right call to move up for him. 

 

Giants, Panthers were my favorite draft classes. Several teams, including the Dolphins, Jets, Patriots and Ravens, had stellar draft classes at first glance, in my opinion. Still, reactionary draft grades and takes are always just a means for content rather than a true prognostication, because the truth is, none of us know how any of these players will turn out. We’ll have to see it play out. That being said, I absolutely love what the Giants and Panthers did over the weekend. 

By trading with the Bears and acquiring another first-round pick for 2022, the Giants still came away with a stellar class of players (Florida WR Kadarius Toney, Georgia EDGE Azeez Ojulari, UCF CB Aaron Robinson) that will help the development of the team. 

The Giants pass-catching group is still pretty barren so adding a shifty, do-it-all slot playmaker like Toney should work wonders for QB Daniel Jones, and compliment recently-signed X-receiver Kenny Golladay nicely. 

On defense, GM Dave Gettleman and head coach Joe Judge seem to be building up a Belichick-style, 3-4 defense with big boys up front, and a stellar defensive back field.

Ojulari was a solid Round-2 pick, as he should provide value as a stand-up edge rusher in their scheme. 

With James Bradberry at outside cornerback, and the versatile Logan Ryan in the slot along with Adoree Jackson, the Giants again added to the group by selecting Robinson in Round 3, who can play both on the perimeter and in the nickel spot. 

It was a good value pick that solidifies a defensive backfield that already has Xavier McKinney and Jabrill Peppers at safety

The Giants are building a hell of a defense. 

In Carolina, the Panthers did their best to add talent to both sides of the ball. 

I do prefer Patrick Surtain II to Jaycee Horn, but in reality, both are lengthy, press-man cornerbacks who are virtually slam-dunk picks. 

Carolina knows they need to build up a defense that has needed help outside of EDGE Brian Burns and safety Jeremy Chinn. Horn should work well opposite A.J. Bouye, giving the Panthers a nasty and effective 1-2 punch at cornerback. 

The Panthers also made one of the great value picks in the draft by scooping up Iowa defensive lineman Daviyon Nixon in Round 5. Nixon was a Round 2 or 3 guy on many draft boards, but ended up falling over the weekend. He’ll be a three-technique or nose-tackle type for a team that needed some nastiness up front.

He should work well next to Derrick Brown, the defensive tackle Carolina picked in Round 1 last spring. 

On offense, the Panthers added Terrace Marshall Jr. in Round 2 as a big slot WR capable of working the seams and making tough catches via his ball-tracking skills. And in Round 3, they finally added an offensive tackle. 

Both the Panthers and Giants project as .500 teams in 2021, but each could surprise many, thanks to what they’ve done this offseason. They’re both building solid teams, and defenses in particular. 

 

Nick Foles to Golden Tate

NFL Monday Morning Madness: Foles delivers again + an early look at the Divisional Round

The weekend’s best game, Eagles-Bears, ended on a heartbreaking note, with Cody Parkey’s game-winning field goal attempt bouncing off two crossbars, en route to falling on the floor, effectively giving Philadelphia a 16-15 win.

The kick is what most will remember, but the game was won on the previous drive.

With a raucos crowd of Bears fans filling the air in Chicago’s Soldier Field, Nick Foles did what he’s consistently done since last season. Come through in the clutch.

Dart after dart into the middle of the Bears’ vaunted defense. Precise pocket movement of that of Tom Brady. Foles added to his legend by employing all that, along with an old-school Eli Manning-like Rainman forgetfulness of his early mistakes.

But with all the talk of Brady or Eli or other great clutch quarterbacks, it’s Foles who has been the best with the game on the line since Super Bowl LII, where he took home the game’s Most Valuable Player award.

Foles deserves is own moniker. In fact he has one. Some call him St. Nick. Recently, others have given him a different moniker, Big Dick Nick. And not to sound vulgar, but it takes massive melons (or cajones, if you prefer) to attempt (and complete) the types of throws that Foles has delivered in pro football’s biggest stages.

Overcoming two interceptions, Foles went 15-for-24 with 153 yards and two touchdowns passes in the second half.

His best throws on the final drive were a down-to-the-goal line 3rd-and-9 slant to former Bear Alshon Jeffrey, and the fourth-and-goal winning score to newcomer Golden Tate in the right flats.

Tate, a midseason acquisition gone awry, hadn’t delivered until his big day on Sunday, with Foles looking his way on various crucial moments.

“We said, once we get in, now you got to deal with us,” Tate said in a video message to the NFL after the game.

The defending Super Bowl champions now visit New Orleans, home of the team that many believe will win pro football’s greatest prize this season.

The Saints wiped the floor with the Eagles at home, 48-7, in November. But that was with Carson Wentz at the helm.

With Foles, the Eagles are a rejuvenated offense and team. The defense is back to playing at a championship-level, as the pass rush has returned to its glory, and the secondary has played with confidence, despite the team losing it’s top two cornerbacks for the season due to injury.

After a 6-7 start, and another injury to their ‘star’ quarterback, the Eagles savior has come in the same form in which he arrived last season. Four straight wins, and another masterful postseason performance later, Foles and the underdog Eagles are back.

Care to bet against them?

Looking Ahead…Divisional Weekend

Colts at Chiefs (NBC, Saturday, 4:35 PM ET)

The Colts look like a dangerous team that can beat anyone after their drubbing of the Texans in Houston. But beating Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium presents a different challenge. Winners of 10 of their last 11 games after a 1-5 start, Indianapolis’ much-improved defense will look to stymie the likely NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes.

The Colts are a more complete team than the Chiefs. But Kansas City has an improving pass rush, bolstered by the return of Justin Houston, and the great season by Chris Jones. But the Chiefs still struggle to stop the run, and Marlon Mack has run wild these past few months for Indianapolis.

It should be relatively high-scoring contest between Andrew Luck and Mahomes

Gut feeling: Chiefs 31, Colts 24

Cowboys at Rams (FOX, Saturday, 8:15 PM ET)

The Rams don’t posses that much of a home-field advantage, but Los Angeles likes them more than the Chargers. The Coliseum has gotten up for a few games this season, and this will be one of them. There will undoubtedly be a bunch of Dallas fans as well, as they’ll be supporting the underdog Cowboys.

To win, Dallas will likely need to pound the rock with Ezekiel Elliott over 30 times to attack the Rams’ questionable run defense, while keeping Sean McVay’s offense off the field. Of course, the Rams haven’t looked as sharp after Thanksgiving. Jared Goff had a tumultuous end to the season, and the offense certainly isn’t the same without trusty slot receiver Cooper Kupp.

Dallas has a top-tier defense, as well as the running game to upset the Rams in LA. The Rams have a slew of defensive playmakers that should make life difficult for Dak Prescott. All it takes is a turnover forced by someone like Aaron Donald to change the game completely.

The Cowboys have the team and proposed blueprint to pul off the upset. But the Rams should play well enough to garner their first postseason victory of the McVay-Goff era.

Gut feeling: Rams 24, Cowboys 23

Chargers at Patriots (CBS, Sunday, 1:05 PM ET)

The Patriots draw the toughest matchup of any first-round bye team in this one.

New England has won 15 straight games at home dating back October 2017. And Tom Brady is 7-0 versus Phillip Rivers. But the Chargers are 8-1 on the road, and 9-0 outside California. Something has to give.

This is the best chance Rivers may ever get to beat Brady. The Chargers have the superior team. They’e the most talented club in the AFC. Their key to victory relies on a big day from Melvin Gordon, and the pass-rush duo of Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram getting to Tom Brady early and often.

Brady will look to work with his running backs in the passing game to combat the Chargers’ pass rush. Look for James White and Rex Burkhead to have big games. Without Josh Gordon, and Rob Gronkowski showing his age, Brady will stay away from outside-the-numbers throws versus Casey Hayward and others. He will look inside and shallow to Julian Edelman. The Chargers may opt to use do-it-all defender Derwin James as a rover in the middle of the field to take help take away both Edelman and Gronkowski.

Although many will pick the Chargers, and it does indeed feel like their time, Brady always seems to best Rivers. Bill Belichick will outcoach Anthony Lynn as well, as New England moves on to its eighth straight AFC Championship Game.

Gut feeling: Patriots 26, Chargers 17

Eagles at Saints (FOX, Sunday, 4:40 PM ET)

The Eagles were mentioned heavily in the lead to this column so we’ll focus on the Saints here.

New Orleans won’t glide to a victory this time around. They’ll have to shake off the rust and rely on their Big three (Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas) to generate points early. The underdog Eagles relish close games in which they are doubted. Leaving them hanging around can be a death sentence. But the Saints are lethal at home, and should prevail here. But if anyone is up to the task of downing the Super Bowl favorites in their home stadium, it’s the Eagles. This one is a toss-up. But I have a hunch.

Gut feeling: Saints 27, Eagles 24

Kenyan Drake vs Patriots

NFL Monday Morning Madness: Miami miracle, Mahomes’ magic maps out AFC

At one point in two different games, the age-old December storyline was set to emerge yet again. A top AFC contender was ready to fall, while the Patriots take advantage to claim the top seed in the conference.

When New England led 33-28 with six seconds remaining, it sure looked that way. That was because Patrick Mahomes and AFC-leading Chiefs were down 24-17 and facing 4th-and-9 to keep their hopes alive at home versus the Ravens.

But the impossible happened in two different locations — Miami and Kansas City.

Ryan Tannehill found Kenny Stills, who lateraled to DeVante Parker, who lateraled to Kenyan Drake who outran the rest of the Patriots for 69-yard game-winning, hook-and-ladder score. Dolphins 34, Patriots 33.

Then Patrick Mahomes sprinted right and delivered a downfield dime on the run to Tyreek Hill. He later found Damien Williams on a score on 4th-and-3. The Chiefs rallied in overtime. Chiefs, 27, Ravens 24.

Week 14 of the 2018 season should be remembered as the slate of games that nearly-solidified the top of the order in the AFC.

The Chiefs (11-2) still need to beat the Chargers next Thursday to be ABSOLUTELY safe, but they basically have the conference’s top seed on lock. The late-game heroics by Mahomes, coupled with the somewhat-sour play from Drew Brees as of late gives the Chiefs quarterback the inside track for the NFL MVP award.

The Patriots (9-4) will look to put this whacky (but mostly self-induced) loss behind them when they travel to face the Steelers next week, who are reeling after a late loss to Oakland. The way they respond from this disaster will likely shape their season.

“For it to end that way, it just doesn’t seem like that’s the end result for us, the end of the story,” Josh Gordon told The Athletic’s Jeff Howe after the game. “We know we’ve got more to prove and more to offer. Going into next week, we hope we can get it done, and I think we will.”

If the Steelers (7-5-1) don’t respond with a win, they may find themselves right out of postseason contention. They are in the midst of an epic meltdown. There is no way around it.

Not to be forgotten, the Texans’ (9-4) nine-game winning streak was snapped at home by the Colts (7-6). Indianapolis is fighting with the Ravens (7-6), Titans (7-6) and Broncos (6-7) for the No. 6 seed in the AFC.

The Titans have an inside track with their ridiculously-easy schedule. Their Week 17 game versus the Colts may serve as a de-facto playoff game for the conference’s No. 6 seed.

How will it all end up? Probably with the Chiefs and Patriots snagging the top two seeds, then meeting in Arrowhead Stadium on January 20th for a shot at playing in Super Bowl LIII. But if Sunday was any indication, that’s far from a lock.

Cooper, Cowboys are soon-to-be NFC East champs

When the Cowboys traded a first-round pick at midseason for Amari Cooper, who laughed? Who made a meme, or snarky tweet regarding the deal? It’s okay if you did, because no one would have expected the importance of that move then.

But now….it’s not ridiculous to say Cooper-to-the-Cowboys is the biggest midseason acquisiton in the history of the NFL.

Skeptical of that take? Look no further than his performance in the de-facto 2018 NFC East championship game.

Cooper scored three different times in the fourth quarter and overtime, with each touchdown giving Dallas a late lead, the last one being a walk-off score off a deflection, in overtime. Cooper has been as clutch as he’s been good, and he’s been damn effective.

With a true No. 1 wide receiver to compliment Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys seem to have enough offense to compete with the big boys of the NFC come January. That’s all possible because of their defense, of course, DeMarcus Lawrence, Jaylon Smith, rookie Leighton Vander Esch and others help to form one of the NFL’s best front sevens.

If the Cowboys can keep games to a lower score (by 2018’s standards) then they can do damage when the pressure is on in the fourth quarter by running with Elliott, and by throwing to Cooper, who has proven that he performs best when the lights are brightest. Here come the Cowboys.

Quick-hits

– I hate to put the Bears’ (9-4) 15-6 thumping of the Rams (11-2) in the quick-hits section, but this was such an eventful week. The win on NBC’s Sunday Night Football one-upped the Cowboys’ 13-10 win over the Saints a week and a half ago. This was December football. A stout defense in a proud, cold-weather city shutting down an offensive juggernaut of a team from Southern California. Sure, Mitchell Trubisky threw three more interceptions, but Tarik Cohen scooted around the field enough to give the Bears just enough offense to topple the Rams. Plus, a litany of sacks and four interceptions of Jared Goff surely helped — this was surely most important. If you’re the Saints or Rams, I’m not sure you want to see either the Bears or Cowboys come to town in the NFC Divisional Round.

– Speaking of the Saints, It was Taysom Hill’s blocked punt with New Orleans down 14-3 in Tampa Bay, that turned their Sunday around. After six quarters of flat football, Drew Brees found somewhat of a rhythm after Hill’s third-quarter play, rallying New Orleans to a 28-14 win over the Buccaneers. The win not only exacted revenge for a crazy Week 1 loss, but effectively ended Tampa Bay’s outside shot at an NFC wild card berth. More importantly, the Saints (11-2) regained the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but they will have to dispatch the likes of the Steelers, and the Panthers (twice) to keep their footing. It wasn’t pretty, but New Orleans is back on top of the NFC. If they truly are a Super Bowl team, they should stay there.

– What in the world happened to the Panthers (6-7)? Sadly, even with a five-game losing streak, Carolina has a shot at the NFC’s No. 6 seed, a slot that no one wants to win. The Panthers will likely address Ron Rivera and the head coaching position this offseason, but new owner David Tepper should opt to stay with Rivera next year, which would be wise. The Panthers defense is not what it used to be. They’ll need to retool. And despite a fantastic season from Christian McCaffrey, and shades of greatness from D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel, the Panthers still lack a playmaker or two on offense. Perhaps with McCaffrey handling duties close to the line of scrimmage, Carolina should opt for a true No. 1 wide receiver. Maybe Moore becomes that, but the Panthers could still use someone on the perimeter, even if it’s a stop-plug free agent. DeSean Jackson, who is likely to bid farewell to division rival Tampa Bay, comes to mind. Whatever it is, the Panthers are in for a long offseason, where they’ll assess what went wrong, all under a brand-new owner. Welcome to the NFL, Mr. Tepper.

 

Ben Roethlisberger vs Jaguars

NFL Monday Morning Madness: Steelers rally past Jags; Cowboys, Bears make NFC statements

Fighting through yet another ugly contest in Jacksonville, Ben Roethlisberger’s plunge to the end zone with 4 seconds remaining kept the Steelers’ six-game winning streak intact, and effectively ended the season of the team that ended theirs this past January.

Down 16-0 to the Jaguars in the third quarter, it seemed as if their nemesis of the past season and a half would get the best of them again. Ben Roethlisberger’s final numbers through the air (27-for-47, 314 yards, two touchdowns, three interceptions) were far from pretty. But Big Ben shook off two interceptions by Jalen Ramsey, and a game’s worth of smack talk, to send the loudest team in the league into what should be a quiet winter at home in January.

“They like to talk a lot before the game, during the game, but I’m carrying the game ball,” Roethlisberger said after the game.

With six straight losses, the Jaguars (3-7) should now be looking toward 2019, and replacing Blake Bortles at quarterback.

With six straight wins, the Steelers’ (7-2-1) season is just beginning. They currently hold the AFC’s No. 2 seed, but tough matchups with the Chargers (7-3), Saints (9-1) and longtime-rival Patriots (7-3) are looming.

Roethlisberger’s 31st career fourth-quarter comeback adds to a remarkable season that surely looks like another step in what may become a special ending for Pittsburgh, who beat the Bengals earlier this year in similar dramatic fashion – Antonio Brown’s game-winning 31-yard touchdown catch with 10 seconds remaining.

After being blanketed by Ramsey earlier, Brown won the matchup in the fourth quarter with four catches for 110 yards and a long score on his final six targets.

With the Le’Veon Bell situation — and the Jaguars — finally behind them, Pittsburgh can fully shift its focus toward the postseason push to January, which is a month of football in which the Steelers should have a major role in, this season.

Are Cowboys set to win NFC East?

After a Sunday that featured a beatdown of the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles (4-6) and a Washington (6-4) loss in which they were stripped of much more — quarterback Alex Smith lost for the season with a broken leg — the Cowboys (5-5) have to feel mighty fine about their chances to win the NFL’s most storied division.

Combatting with a team in the Falcons (4-6) that may be vying for a NFC wild card spot, Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot came through in the fourth quarter, matching Atlanta score for score to eventually win 22-19 on a walk-off field goal by Brett Maher.

Now, the Cowboys will host the Redskins on Thanksgiving day, adding a little flavor to one of the league’s oldest rivalries. Colt McCoy will start at quarterback for Jay Gruden’s bunch, which should make Dallas the favorite to win the game, and momentarily slide into first place in the division. Although, it’s worth noting that McCoy embarrassed the Cowboys in Dallas in a Monday Night game back in 2014.

The Eagles are still looming despite their 48-7 loss in New Orleans, but things are certainly piling up for a team that looks nothing like it did just nine months ago, when they beat the Patriots to win Super Bowl LII.

So for now, it’s Jerry Jones who should be rocking a Holiday grin of that of Dr. Suess’ Grinch. The Cowboys are coming.

Monsters of the North

As Dallas looks to take the NFC East, the Bears (7-3) may already have dibs on the NFC North this season. Their 25-20 defensive showout over the Vikings (5-4-1) puts Chicago a game and a half up in the division. The Vikings host the Packers (4-5-1) next Sunday night, then travel to New England.

So essentially, this may be the win that won the north for Chicago, which is still ironing out some kinks on offense, thanks to the inconsistency of second-year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky.

But what Trubisky lacks in decision-making, he makes up for with an athleticism and the innate ability to scramble for first downs. He didn’t need to do much on Sunday, as Khalil Mack, Akiem Hicks and the Bears’ ferocious defense put a clamper on the Vikings’ star-studded offense.

The Bears are rolling, with four straight wins, and with an average schedule the rest of the way, they are in a good position for the NFC’s No. 3 seed.

Quick-hits

– It was only a matter of time before an NFL coach would burn himself to the temptation of ‘going for the win’ by attempting a two-point conversion down one point in the waning seconds. Ron Rivera is the latest victim and the Panthers (6-4) dropped a crucial game in Detroit to the Lions (4-6), 20-19.

The call can be dissected all day on Monday, but Cam Newton was off the mark, as Jarius Wright was open. To Newton’s credit, he blamed the loss on himself, after the game. Now, the Panthers host the Seahawks (5-5) in a game that may decide one of the NFC’s wild card spots.

– Give it up for Lamar Jackson, who won his first career start for the Ravens (5-5), 24-21 over the Bengals (5-5) in a big game for AFC wild card purposes.

“My teammates had my back, and I had theirs,” Jackson said after the game.

Jackson scurried on 27 rushing attempts (most by a NFL QB since 1950), which surprises no one who knows his game. As he gains more experience he should develop as a passer. Adding the ability to read defenses to his elite athleticism and playmaking skills could make for a scary player that could captivate the league much like Michael Vick did, at times.

With the lowly Raiders (2-8) up next, Baltimore may opt to keep Joe Flacco on the sideline for at least one more week, to see what else Jackson has to offer.

– It’s been mentioned a few times in lead-up to this, but this year’s best team, the Saints (9-1), just whooped last season’s best team — Eagles (4-6) in a game that spelled a ninth straight win for New Orleans. It’s certainly Super Bowl or bust for these Saints. But there’s a long way to go.

For now, watch this cool postgame interview with Drew Brees and the great Erin Andrews.